Nikola Jokic Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 6/7/2023

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Rebounds

Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets · Jun 7, 2023

Updated Jun 8, 2023 12:36 AM EST

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+114/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jokic has been on the court for 40.1 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.9 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the year.
The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Nikola Jokic has tallied a mere 9.4 defensive rebounds per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 10.9 defensive rebounds per game last season.
Nikola Jokic has been called for 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 0.8 more than he's been called for over the course of the season on the road.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games while on the road.
The Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games, which should decrease possessions for the Nuggets.
The Denver Nuggets rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

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