Nikola Jokic Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 4/8/2023

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Rebounds

Utah Jazz vs Denver Nuggets · Apr 8, 2023

Updated Apr 9, 2023 2:56 AM EST

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-135/+100).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jokic has played 33.0 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 90th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The Jazz have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should boost possessions for the Nuggets.
The Denver Nuggets have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Nikola Jokic has totaled just 9.4 defensive rebounds per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 10.9 defensive rebounds per game last year.
Nikola Jokic has tallied 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the league (84th percentile).
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home.
At home, the Jazz have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (12.3) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Nikola Jokic will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court tends to worsens player production across the board.

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