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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 5/1/2025

LA Clippers vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 27.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 26.5 @ +105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Nikola Jokic has successfully made 11.1 baskets per game this year, putting him in the 100th percentile among all players in the NBA.
  • Nikola Jokic has sunk 41.1% of his 3-point shots while playing on the road this year, putting him in the 89th percentile among all players in the league.
  • Nikola Jokic has played 37.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 99th percentile.
  • The matchup vs. Ivica Zubac is a positive one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when matched up against other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a massive 2.5 treys per game (100th percentile).
  • Offensive rebounds retain possession and create added chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 9th-best in in the NBA with 12.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Denver Nuggets rank as the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year in regard to shot attempts from beyond the arc.
  • The 4th-slowest pace away offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Nuggets.
  • The Nuggets are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from facing the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the LA Clippers).
  • Nikola Jokic will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium tends to reduce player performance across the board.

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