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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 4/26/2025

LA Clippers vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-133/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -133.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Out of all players in the NBA, Nikola Jokic slots into the 100th percentile for field goals made, totaling a monstrous 11.2 per game this year.
  • Nikola Jokic has sunk 40.8% of his 3-point attempts while playing on the road this year, placing him in the 88th percentile among all players in the league.
  • Out of all players in the league, Nikola Jokic slots into the 99th percentile for playing time, averaging an enormous 37.0 minutes per game this year.
  • The number of shots from behind the three-point arc hit against Ivica Zubac has been very high (1.0 per game) when matched up against fellow starting Cs this year (100th percentile).
  • The Denver Nuggets have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Denver Nuggets rank as the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year as it relates to three-point attempts.
  • The 5th-least up-tempo tempo visiting offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Denver Nuggets.
  • The Nuggets are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities in this game from competing against the slowest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Clippers).
  • Nikola Jokic will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium tends to decrease stat production in all facets of the game.

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