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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 4/21/2025

Denver Nuggets vs LA Clippers

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has attempted 24.6 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 4.3 more than he's attempted over the course of the year at home.

Nikola Jokic has attempted 6.6 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 1.5 more than he's attempted over the course of the season at home.

Among all players in the league, Nikola Jokic slots into the 99th percentile for playing time, compiling a massive 36.9 minutes per game this year.

The Nuggets check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league as the home team this year.

The number of shots from downtown converted against Ivica Zubac has been very high (1.1 per game) when he is on the road and guarding opposing starting Cs this year (100th percentile).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The LA Clippers have played at the 2nd-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games without the home court advantage, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Nuggets.

The Nuggets check in as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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