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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 4/19/2025

Denver Nuggets vs LA Clippers

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-119/-109).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 28.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 28.5 @ -109.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has attempted 24.8 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games at home, 4.6 more than he's attempted overall this year at home.

Nikola Jokic has attempted 7.0 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 1.9 higher than he's attempted in all games this season at home.

Nikola Jokic has tallied 36.8 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 99th percentile.

The Nuggets rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league while at home this year.

The matchup against Ivica Zubac is a good one for 3-pointers; when Zubac is playing on the road other starting Cs this year, they have finished with a monstrous 1.1 three-point shots per game (100th percentile).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Nuggets will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 3rd-slowest pace road offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Clippers).

The Nuggets have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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