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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 4/13/2025

Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-121/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -121.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has attempted 22.2 field goals per game over the last 10 games, 2.6 higher than he's attempted overall this year.

Nikola Jokic has converted 2.8 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's converted from downtown overall this season.

Nikola Jokic has tallied 41.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.7 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year.

The Denver Nuggets will likely get a boost in plays in this contest from competing against the 8th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Rockets).

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 6th-best in in the league while playing on the road with 12.0 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In terms of three-point attempts, the least aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets.

The number of points notched against Alperen Sengun has been remarkably low (10.9 per game) when guarding opposing starting Cs this year (3rd percentile).

The 5th-least up-tempo pace road team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Nuggets.

The number of fouls drawn by opposing starting Cs vs. Alperen Sengun has been very low this year (2.3 foul shots per game: 10th percentile).

Nikola Jokic will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling usually decreases player production in all facets of the game.

More Nikola Jokic Player Props

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