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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 4/9/2025

Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (+100/-132).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 31.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 32.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has attempted 23.4 field goals per game over the last 10 games, 3.7 more than he's attempted overall this year.

Nikola Jokic has sunk 3.4 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's made from 3-point range overall this year.

Nikola Jokic has tallied 36.8 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 99th percentile.

The Nuggets have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the league this year.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 7th-best in in the NBA as the away team with 12.1 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In regard to 3-point attempts, the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year has been the Nuggets.

The matchup vs. Domantas Sabonis is a difficult one; he has given up just 11.8 points per game on his home court when matched up against fellow starting Cs this year (10th percentile).

The Denver Nuggets are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 5th-most lethargic tempo team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Sacramento Kings).

The faceoff with Domantas Sabonis with respect to getting to the charity stripe comes in at the 23rd percentile for difficulty with the other team's starting Cs attempting a mere 2.5 free throws per game this year when they are away from home.

Nikola Jokic will likely suffer a reduction in productivity across the board due to playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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