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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 4/4/2025

Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 30.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has attempted 23.6 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 4.0 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.

Nikola Jokic has attempted 6.8 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 higher than he's attempted overall this year.

Among all players in the league, Nikola Jokic places in the 99th percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 36.8 minutes per game this year.

The 7th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league this year has been the Nuggets.

The Denver Nuggets have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Denver Nuggets have been the least aggressive offense in the league this year when it comes to shot attempts from downtown.

The matchup vs. Draymond Green is a tough one for field goals; when squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year, they have made a mere 4.7 buckets per game (3rd percentile).

The Warriors have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should decrease possessions for the Denver Nuggets.

The matchup vs. Draymond Green is a hard one for drawing fouls; when squaring off against fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a mere 2.6 free throws per game (21st percentile).

Nikola Jokic should experience a decrease in effectiveness across the board in light of being on the road in this game.

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