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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 4/1/2025

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 31.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has attempted 22.4 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 3.0 more than he's attempted over the course of the season.

Nikola Jokic has attempted 6.2 treys per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 1.3 more than he's attempted in all games this year at home.

Among all players in the league, Nikola Jokic slots into the 98th percentile for playing time, averaging an enormous 35.9 minutes per game while at home this year.

The 5th-fastest pace team in the league this year has been the Nuggets.

Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 8th-best in in the league with 11.7 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

As it relates to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the least aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Nuggets.

The showdown with Rudy Gobert measures in the 3rd percentile for difficulty with the opposition's starting Cs burying a mere 49.9% of their shots from the field this year.

The Timberwolves have played at the 8th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA this year, which should decrease possessions for the Denver Nuggets.

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