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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 3/26/2025

Denver Nuggets vs Milwaukee Bucks

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 27.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has attempted 21.8 shots per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 2.3 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year at home.

Nikola Jokic has attempted 6.0 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.

Nikola Jokic has averaged 35.9 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.

While away from his home court and defending other starting Cs, Brook Lopez has been in the 97th percentile with a massive 2.9 treys attempted against him per game this year.

The Nuggets have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA at home this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Nikola Jokic has accumulated 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's accumulated overall this year.

The Denver Nuggets rank as the least aggressive offense in the league this year with respect to 3-point attempts.

The Bucks have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to decrease possessions for the Nuggets.

The matchup against Brook Lopez is a tough one for getting to the foul line; when Lopez is playing on the road and guarding opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a lowly 2.2 foul shots per game (3rd percentile).

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