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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 3/19/2025

Los Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 5th-most up-tempo pace team in the NBA this year has been the Denver Nuggets.

The Nuggets have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Denver Nuggets rank as the least aggressive offense in the league this year in terms of shot attempts from beyond the arc.

The matchup with Jaxson Hayes registers in the 3rd percentile for difficulty with the opposition's starting Cs nailing just 0.3 three-point shots per game this year.

The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 7th-slowest pace in the league over the last 15 games on their home court, which ought to reduce plays for the Nuggets.

The clash with Jaxson Hayes as it relates to drawing fouls slots into the 7th percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting Cs attempting just 2.4 free throws per game this year.

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