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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 3/14/2025

Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Lakers

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 28.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 26.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has registered 29.0 points per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA by this metric: 100th percentile.

Nikola Jokic has attempted 6.0 three-point shots per game over the last 10 games when playing at home, 1.2 higher than he's attempted in all games this season at home.

Nikola Jokic has tallied 35.7 minutes per game playing at home this year, ranking him in the 97th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.

With respect to offense, the Nuggets's outstanding 124.0 points per game at home comes in as the 2nd-strongest in the NBA over the last 25 games.

Nikola Jokic will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city tends to raise stat production in all facets of the game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Nikola Jokic has been called for 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's been called for over the course of the year.

The matchup against Alex Len is a challenging one for 3-point attempts; when Len is playing on the road and matched up against fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a mere 1.6 shots from downtown per game (10th percentile).

The Nuggets have played at the 10th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games as the home team.

The Nuggets will likely suffer a reduction in plays today from being pitted against the 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play visiting offense in the league this year (the Los Angeles Lakers).

Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in more chances for scoring and assists, but the Nuggets grade out 8thworst in in the NBA while on their home court with just 10.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.

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