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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 3/12/2025

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 28.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 27.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has averaged 28.9 points per game this year, placing him among the best players in the league in this category: 100th percentile.

Out of all players in the league, Nikola Jokic places in the 97th percentile for 3-point proficiency with a stellar 46.2% rate this year.

Among all players in the league, Nikola Jokic rates in the 97th percentile for playing time, posting a massive 35.6 minutes per game while at home this year.

In terms of scoring, the Denver Nuggets's exceptional 126.4 points per game as the home team rates highest in the NBA over the last 20 games.

The Nuggets have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the league this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Nikola Jokic has tallied 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's tallied in all games this season.

The matchup with Rudy Gobert ranks in the 7th percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs draining just 48.7% of their field goals this year when they are playing at home.

The Denver Nuggets will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 7th-most sluggish tempo offense in the league this year (the Timberwolves).

The Denver Nuggets rank as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup against Rudy Gobert is a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; when guarding fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a lowly 2.8 foul shots per game (23rd percentile).

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