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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 3/7/2025

Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns

 
 
 
Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (+104/-137).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ +104.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Nikola Jokic has posted 28.8 points per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the league by this metric: 100th percentile.
  • Nikola Jokic has sunk 46.7% of his treys this year, placing him in the 98th percentile out of all players in the league.
  • Nikola Jokic has been on the court for 35.3 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking in the 96th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.
  • The 5th-quickest pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Denver Nuggets.
  • The Suns have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games away from their home city, which should raise plays for the Denver Nuggets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Nuggets check in as the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year as it relates to three-point attempts.
  • The rate of treys converted against Nick Richards has been very low (31.4%) when he is away from his home court and facing opposing starting Cs this year (21st percentile).

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