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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 3/5/2025

Denver Nuggets vs Sacramento Kings

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has totaled 29.0 points per game this year, putting him among the best players in the league by this metric: 100th percentile.

Nikola Jokic has made 47.6% of his attempts from beyond the arc this year, ranking in the 98th percentile out of all players in the league.

Among all players in the league, Nikola Jokic rates in the 96th percentile for playing time, tallying a massive 35.2 minutes per game at home this year.

The matchup against Jonas Valanciunas is a favorable one; he has given up an enormous 16.4 points per game when matched up against other starting Cs this year (97th percentile).

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the league this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In terms of shot attempts from downtown, the least aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Nuggets.

The Nuggets will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from squaring off against the 4th-most lethargic pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Kings).

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