Nikola Jokic Points - Player Prop Bet 3/2/2025

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Points

Boston Celtics vs Denver Nuggets · Mar 2, 2025

Updated Mar 3, 2025 1:05 AM UTC

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-129/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -129.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jokic has sunk 66.0% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games on the road, 6.3% higher than he's put through the net overall this year away from home.
Nikola Jokic has sunk an impressive 2.0 3-point shots per game this season, a significant increase from his 1.1 rate last season.
Nikola Jokic has averaged 36.1 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 97th percentile.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 3rd-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Nuggets have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

In regard to shot attempts from downtown, the least aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the Nuggets.
The number of points averaged against Luke Kornet has been remarkably low (11.6 per game) when defending fellow starting Cs this year (7th percentile).
The Celtics have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should decrease opportunities for the Denver Nuggets.
The clash with Luke Kornet in regard to getting to the free-throw line rates in the 7th percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting Cs attempting only 2.3 free throws per game this year.
Nikola Jokic ought to see a decline in production for all stats due to playing away from home in this contest.

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