Nikola Jokic Points - Player Prop Bet 2/28/2025

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Denver Nuggets · Feb 28, 2025

Updated Mar 1, 2025 3:34 AM UTC

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-130/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jokic has sunk 68.5% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games on the road, 8.4% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season while on the road.
In contrast to last season's 39.3% mark, Nikola Jokic's 3-point proficiency has surged this season to 48.1%.
Nikola Jokic has played 36.1 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 97th percentile.
The matchup with Jalen Duren measures in just the 100th percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting Cs hitting an enormous 1.1 3-pointers per game this year.
The Nuggets have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

The Denver Nuggets check in as the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year in regard to 3-point attempts.
Nikola Jokic will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court usually reduces player performance in all facets of the game.

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