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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 2/27/2025

Milwaukee Bucks vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Nikola Jokic has converted 66.1% of his field goals over the last 10 games on the road, 6.8% more than he's made over the course of the season while playing away from home.
  • Nikola Jokic has sunk an impressive 48.1% of his treys this season, significantly more than his 39.3 rate last season.
  • Nikola Jokic has played 36.1 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 97th percentile.
  • When matched up against fellow starting Cs, Brook Lopez places in the 100th percentile with a massive 2.7 three-point shots attempted against him per game this year.
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the league with the home court advantage this year, which ought to increase opportunities for the Nuggets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Denver Nuggets check in as the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year in terms of shots from behind the three-point arc.
  • The Denver Nuggets have played at the 8th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.
  • The matchup vs. Brook Lopez is a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; when guarding other starting Cs this year, they have attempted just 2.5 free throws per game (17th percentile).
  • Nikola Jokic will likely experience a decrease in output in all stat categories as a result of playing away from home in this game.

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