Nikola Jokic Points - Player Prop Bet 2/20/2025

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Charlotte Hornets · Feb 20, 2025

Updated Feb 21, 2025 4:44 AM UTC

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (+135/-180).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 28.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 28.5 @ -180.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jokic has made 65.6% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games, 6.4% higher than he's put through the net in all games this year.
Nikola Jokic has attempted 5.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's attempted in all games this year.
Nikola Jokic has averaged 35.1 minutes per game while at home this year, putting him in the 95th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
In terms of offense, the Denver Nuggets's fantastic 123.4 points per game with the home court advantage measures as the highest in the NBA this year.
The matchup against Jusuf Nurkic is a favorable one for field goal attempts; when Nurkic is on the visiting team other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a colossal 11.9 shots made from the field per game (100th percentile).

Favors Under

Nikola Jokic has tallied 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 0.8 more than he's tallied in all games this year at home.
The Nuggets will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 2nd-least up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the Charlotte Hornets).
Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, but the Nuggets rank 7thworst in in the league at home with just 10.1 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

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