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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 2/12/2025

Denver Nuggets vs Portland Trail Blazers

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -122.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has converted 65.8% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games, 6.5% higher than he's sunk overall this season.

Out of all players in the league, Nikola Jokic slots into the 95th percentile for playing time, totaling an enormous 35.1 minutes per game when playing at home this year.

The 4th-fastest pace home team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Denver Nuggets.

The Nuggets check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Nikola Jokic has sunk 6.8 foul shots per game over the last 10 games at home, 1.2 more than he's made overall this season at home.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Nikola Jokic has committed 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 0.8 more than he's committed overall this year at home.

In regard to 3-point attempts, the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year has been the Denver Nuggets.

The number of field goals drained against Donovan Clingan has been remarkably low (4.7 per game) when squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year (17th percentile).

The Denver Nuggets will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 4th-slowest tempo offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Trail Blazers).

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