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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 2/10/2025

Denver Nuggets vs Portland Trail Blazers

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-139/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -139.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has put up 29.6 points per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA by this standard: 100th percentile.

Nikola Jokic has attempted 5.8 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's attempted overall this year.

Nikola Jokic has tallied 35.3 minutes per game playing at home this year, putting him in the 96th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the league over the last 25 games on their home court.

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Nuggets have been the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year with respect to shot attempts from downtown.

The number of shot attempts from the field against Deandre Ayton has been quite low (8.6 per game) when defending other starting Cs this year (10th percentile).

The Denver Nuggets are expected to see a decline in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Trail Blazers).

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