Nikola Jokic Points - Player Prop Bet 2/8/2025

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets · Feb 8, 2025

Updated Feb 9, 2025 4:04 AM UTC

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 30.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In contrast to last year's 39.3% rate, Nikola Jokic's 3-point proficiency has jumped this year to 51.9%.
Nikola Jokic has attempted 6.0 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Nikola Jokic measures in the 98th percentile for playing time, posting an enormous 36.3 minutes per game this year.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA this year.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to added chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 6th-best in in the NBA on the road with 12.1 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

Favors Under

In terms of three-point attempts, the least aggressive team in the league this year has been the Nuggets.
When at home and squaring off against fellow starting Cs, Nick Richards slots into the 3rd percentile with a mere 0.8 threes attempted against him per game this year.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 6th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games at home, which should decrease possessions for the Denver Nuggets.
The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting Cs vs. Nick Richards has been remarkably low this year (1.0 foul shot attempts per game when they are at home: 3rd percentile).
Nikola Jokic should experience a decrease in efficiency across the board on account of playing away from home in this game.

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