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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 2/3/2025

Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-102/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -102.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has attempted 21.4 field goals per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 2.0 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year at home.

Nikola Jokic has attempted 4.3 three-point shots per game this season, significantly more than his 3.1 rate last season.

Out of all players in the NBA, Nikola Jokic places in the 96th percentile for playing time, totaling an enormous 35.4 minutes per game at home this year.

As it relates to shooting, the Nuggets's stellar 122.6 points per game places 2nd-strongest in the league over the last 25 games.

The matchup with Yves Missi rates in only the 96th percentile for difficulty with the other team's starting Cs scoring a massive 65.1% of their field goals this year when they have the home court advantage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Nuggets rank 7thworst in in the league as the home team with a mere 9.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

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