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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 1/29/2025

New York Knicks vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Nikola Jokic has successfully made 69.7% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 11.2% more than he's converted overall this season.
  • Nikola Jokic has sunk a whopping 53.2% of his attempts from downtown this year, a sizeable increase from his 39.3 mark last year.
  • Nikola Jokic has tallied 36.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 98th percentile.
  • The 4th-fastest pace-of-play visiting team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Denver Nuggets.
  • Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 5th-best in in the NBA while playing away from home with 13.1 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Denver Nuggets rank as the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year in terms of shot attempts from beyond the arc.
  • The matchup vs. Karl-Anthony Towns is a challenging one for 3-pointers; when Towns is on his home court and facing fellow starting Cs this year, they have successfully made just 15.0% of their three-point shots (3rd percentile).
  • The Nuggets are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities today from squaring off against the 5th-most lethargic pace offense in the league this year (the Knicks).
  • The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting Cs against Karl-Anthony Towns has been very low this year (1.6 free throws per game when they are at home: 3rd percentile).
  • Nikola Jokic stands to suffer a reduction in effectiveness in all facets of the game on account of being on the road in this game.

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