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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 1/19/2025

Orlando Magic vs Denver Nuggets

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-120/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Compared to last season's 26.7 mark, Nikola Jokic's points per game have spiked this season to 30.4.

Nikola Jokic has made a terrific 53.4% of his 3-point shots this year, significantly more than his 39.3 mark last year.

Nikola Jokic has been on the court for 36.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 99th percentile.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 3rd-fastest pace in the league over the last 20 games without the home court advantage.

The Nuggets have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With respect to shot attempts from downtown, the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year has been the Nuggets.

The matchup against Wendell Carter Jr. is a tough one for field goals; when Carter Jr. is on his home court and defending other starting Cs this year, they have converted just 47.0% of their field goals (10th percentile).

The Magic have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games, which should decrease opportunities for the Denver Nuggets.

Nikola Jokic should see a decline in production in all stat categories on account of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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