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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 1/17/2025

Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In contrast to last year's 26.7 rate, Nikola Jokic's points per game have spiked this year to 30.6.

Out of all players in the NBA, Nikola Jokic places in the 87th percentile for shooting proficiency while playing away from home with an excellent 55.2% rate this year.

Out of all players in the league, Nikola Jokic places in the 99th percentile for playing time, averaging a massive 37.0 minutes per game this year.

The rate of three-pointers scored against Bam Adebayo has been remarkably high (47.2%) when facing other starting Cs this year (100th percentile).

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 3rd-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games while on the road.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In regard to three-point attempts, the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year has been the Denver Nuggets.

The Denver Nuggets are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities today from squaring off against the 2nd-slowest tempo home team in the NBA this year (the Miami Heat).

The matchup against Bam Adebayo is a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; when defending other starting Cs this year, they have attempted just 2.7 foul shots per game (23rd percentile).

Nikola Jokic should suffer a reduction in effectiveness in all facets of the game considering playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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