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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 1/14/2025

Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-112/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -112.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has logged a terrific 31.2 points per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 26.7 points per game last season.

Relative to last season's 1.1 rate, Nikola Jokic's three-pointers sunk have spiked this season to 2.2 per game.

Among all players in the NBA, Nikola Jokic lands in the 99th percentile for playing time, posting an enormous 37.3 minutes per game this year.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games.

The Mavericks have played at the 8th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which should boost possessions for the Denver Nuggets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

When it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc, the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year has been the Denver Nuggets.

The matchup against Dereck Lively II is a hard one for three-pointers; when guarding opposing starting Cs this year, they have averaged just 0.4 threes per game (3rd percentile).

Nikola Jokic will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court usually worsens stat production in all facets of the game.

More Nikola Jokic Player Props

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