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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 1/12/2025

Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-105/-125).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has put up an impressive 31.6 points per game this season, quite a bit more than his 26.7 points per game last season.

Nikola Jokic has successfully made 2.8 threes per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.6 higher than he's sunk in all games this year when playing on the road.

Out of all players in the NBA, Nikola Jokic registers in the 99th percentile for playing time, logging an enormous 37.2 minutes per game this year.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.

The Denver Nuggets will likely see a rise in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 10th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Dallas Mavericks).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Denver Nuggets have been the least aggressive offense in the league this year in terms of shot attempts from downtown.

The faceoff with Dereck Lively II measures in the 3rd percentile for difficulty with rival starting Cs scoring only 0.4 3-point shots per game this year.

Nikola Jokic should experience a decrease in productivity across the board as a result of being on the road in this matchup.

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