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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 1/10/2025

Denver Nuggets vs Brooklyn Nets

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 30.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 28.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Relative to last season's 26.7 clip, Nikola Jokic's points per game have increased this season to 31.5.

Nikola Jokic has tallied 35.5 minutes per game playing at home this year, ranking him in the 96th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.

The Denver Nuggets rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games.

The showdown with Nic Claxton measures in the 97th percentile with the other side's starting Cs burying an enormous 40.3% of their three-point shots this year.

The 4th-fastest tempo team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Nuggets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Nuggets are expected to see a decline in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 4th-least up-tempo tempo team in the league this year (the Brooklyn Nets).

The Nuggets rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. Nic Claxton is a challenging one for drawing fouls; when Claxton is playing on the road and defending fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a measly 1.7 foul shots per game (10th percentile).

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