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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 1/4/2025

San Antonio Spurs vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 31.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 30.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Compared to last year's 26.7 clip, Nikola Jokic's points per game have jumped this year to 31.0.
  • Nikola Jokic has tallied 37.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 99th percentile.
  • The number of shot attempts from the field against Victor Wembanyama has been very high (12.2 per game) when matched up against opposing starting Cs this year (93rd percentile).
  • The 4th-quickest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Nuggets.
  • The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 15 games on their home court, which should increase opportunities for the Denver Nuggets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Denver Nuggets check in as the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year in terms of 3-point attempts.
  • The number of fouls drawn by opposing starting Cs against Victor Wembanyama has been remarkably low this year (2.3 free throws per game when they are on their home court: 17th percentile).
  • Nikola Jokic will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road generally decreases player production in all stat categories.

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