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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 1/3/2025

Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs

 
 
 
Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-129/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 30.5 @ -129.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Nikola Jokic has notched an impressive 30.7 points per game this season, a significant increase from his 26.7 points per game last season.
  • Out of all players in the NBA, Nikola Jokic comes in at the 98th percentile for 3-point proficiency playing at home with an excellent 64.7% rate this year.
  • Nikola Jokic has been on the court for 35.4 minutes per game when playing at home this year, putting him in the 95th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
  • In regard to scoring, the Nuggets's outstanding 128.0 points per game comes in as the most in the league over the last 5 games.
  • The 4th-speediest pace offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Denver Nuggets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • While playing on the road and facing opposing starting Cs, Victor Wembanyama slots into the 3rd percentile with just 10.3 shots from the field against him per game this year.
  • The Spurs have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while traveling, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Denver Nuggets.
  • Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Nuggets rank 2ndworst in in the NBA while playing at home with a mere 7.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
  • The matchup with Victor Wembanyama in terms of getting to the foul line rates in the 17th percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs attempting only 2.9 foul shots per game this year when they are on their home court.

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