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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 12/30/2024

Utah Jazz vs Denver Nuggets

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-133/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -133.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has notched an impressive 30.8 points per game this year, a significant increase from his 26.7 points per game last year.

Nikola Jokic has converted 45.3% of his shots from behind the three-point arc while playing on the road this year, putting him in the 90th percentile among all players in the league.

Among all players in the league, Nikola Jokic places in the 99th percentile for playing time, tallying a whopping 37.2 minutes per game this year.

The Nuggets rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games.

The matchup vs. Walker Kessler is a good one; he has allowed an enormous 21.2 points per game while at home when squaring off against other starting Cs this year (100th percentile).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Jazz have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which should reduce plays for the Denver Nuggets.

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Nuggets rank 7thworst in in the league with just 9.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting Cs against Walker Kessler has been quite low this year (2.5 free throws per game: 20th percentile).

Nikola Jokic ought to see a decline in productivity in all facets of the game in light of playing away from home in this game.

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