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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 12/27/2024

Denver Nuggets vs Cleveland Cavaliers

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Relative to last year's 26.7 clip, Nikola Jokic's points per game have surged this year to 30.7.

Among all players in the NBA, Nikola Jokic slots into the 98th percentile for 3-point prowess while at home with a superb 65.9% rate this year.

Nikola Jokic has averaged 35.7 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 97th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.

The 5th-quickest pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Denver Nuggets.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate further chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 9th-best in in the league while at home with 11.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Denver Nuggets check in as the least aggressive offense in the league this year in terms of shot attempts from downtown.

The matchup against Jarrett Allen is a challenging one for scoring; when Allen is on the visiting team and guarding opposing starting Cs this year, they have made just 44.2% of their shots from the field (3rd percentile).

The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 3rd-slowest tempo in the league over the last 5 games on the road, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Nuggets.

The showdown with Jarrett Allen as it relates to getting to the foul line measures in the 7th percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting Cs attempting a mere 1.6 foul shots per game this year when they are playing at home.

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