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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 12/7/2024

Washington Wizards vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 32.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • In comparison to last year's 18.2 clip, Nikola Jokic's field goal attempts have surged this year to 20.4 per game.
  • Nikola Jokic has sunk an impressive 2.1 three-pointers per game this year, significantly more than his 1.1 rate last year.
  • Out of all players in the NBA, Nikola Jokic rates in the 100th percentile for playing time, totaling a massive 37.8 minutes per game this year.
  • The Nuggets have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games as the road team.
  • The 3rd-fastest pace visiting team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Nuggets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The matchup vs. Jonas Valanciunas is a difficult one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when Valanciunas is on his home court and guarding fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a lowly 0.9 shots from downtown per game (7th percentile).
  • Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Nuggets grade out 5thworst in in the league with just 8.8 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
  • The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs vs. Jonas Valanciunas has been quite low this year (2.6 foul shots per game: 21st percentile).
  • Nikola Jokic will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city usually lowers player production in all facets of the game.

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