Nikola Jokic Points - Player Prop Bet 11/19/2024

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Denver Nuggets · Nov 19, 2024

Updated Nov 19, 2024 6:33 PM EST

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Nikola Jokic lands in the 100th percentile for shots scored, registering a massive 10.8 per game this year.
Nikola Jokic has been on the court for 38.2 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 100th percentile.
The matchup against Brandon Clarke is a good one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when Clarke is on his home court and facing fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a monstrous 3.9 3-point shots per game (96th percentile).
The 10th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Nuggets.
The Grizzlies have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Nuggets.

Favors Under

With respect to shots from behind the three-point arc, the least aggressive offense in the NBA away from their home court this year has been the Nuggets.
The number of fouls drawn by opposing starting Cs vs. Brandon Clarke has been quite low this year (1.1 free throws per game when they are playing at home: 4th percentile).
Nikola Jokic will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road usually decreases player production for all stats.

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