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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 11/8/2024

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-103/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 28.5 @ -141 before it was bet down to 27.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has sunk 9.8 field goals per game on his home court this year, ranking in the 97th percentile among all players in the league.

Among all players in the NBA, Nikola Jokic lands in the 97th percentile for playing time, registering a monstrous 35.8 minutes per game on his home court this year.

The matchup vs. Bam Adebayo is a strong one for field goals; when matched up against other starting Cs since the start of last season, they have sunk an enormous 59.6% of their field goal attempts (96th percentile).

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games playing at home.

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to added chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out best in in the league with 14.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Nuggets check in as the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year in regard to shots from behind the three-point arc.

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest tempo in the NBA this year, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Denver Nuggets.

The showdown with Bam Adebayo in regard to getting to the foul line registers in the 19th percentile for difficulty with rival starting Cs attempting only 2.8 free throws per game since the start of last season.

More Nikola Jokic Player Props

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