Nikola Jokic Points - Player Prop Bet 11/8/2024

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat · Nov 8, 2024

Updated Nov 8, 2024 11:05 PM UTC

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-103/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 28.5 @ -141 before it was bet down to 27.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jokic has sunk 9.8 field goals per game on his home court this year, ranking in the 97th percentile among all players in the league.
Among all players in the NBA, Nikola Jokic lands in the 97th percentile for playing time, registering a monstrous 35.8 minutes per game on his home court this year.
The matchup vs. Bam Adebayo is a strong one for field goals; when matched up against other starting Cs since the start of last season, they have sunk an enormous 59.6% of their field goal attempts (96th percentile).
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games playing at home.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to added chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out best in in the league with 14.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

The Nuggets check in as the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year in regard to shots from behind the three-point arc.
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest tempo in the NBA this year, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Denver Nuggets.
The showdown with Bam Adebayo in regard to getting to the foul line registers in the 19th percentile for difficulty with rival starting Cs attempting only 2.8 free throws per game since the start of last season.

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