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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 11/1/2024

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the NBA, Nikola Jokic rates in the 99th percentile for shots from the field drained, averaging an enormous 10.6 per game since the start of last season.

Nikola Jokic has successfully made 39.7% of his attempts from beyond the arc since the start of last season, putting him in the 89th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Out of all players in the NBA, Nikola Jokic ranks in the 94th percentile for playing time, putting up a colossal 35.1 minutes per game away from home since the start of last season.

The matchup against Rudy Gobert is a good one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when guarding fellow starting Cs since the start of last season, they have attempted a massive 2.3 treys per game (85th percentile).

The Denver Nuggets rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing away from home since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Nuggets check in as the least aggressive offense in the NBA on the road since the start of last season as it relates to shot attempts from beyond the arc.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-most lethargic tempo in the NBA this year.

The Timberwolves have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA this year, which ought to decrease possessions for the Denver Nuggets.

Nikola Jokic will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city tends to decrease player production in all stat categories.

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