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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 5/14/2024

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-120/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has attempted 20.1 field goals per game over the last 15 games when playing at home, 2.5 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year at home.

Nikola Jokic has attempted 4.6 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 higher than he's attempted in all games this year.

Nikola Jokic has played 40.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games while at home, 4.7 more than he's played over the course of the season at home.

The Denver Nuggets have been the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 5 games.

The matchup vs. Rudy Gobert is a good one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when matched up against other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a massive 2.3 3-pointers per game (100th percentile).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Nikola Jokic lands in the 88th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a whopping 2.5 fouls per game this year.

The 3rd-most lethargic pace home team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Denver Nuggets.

The Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games away from their home stadium, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Nuggets.

Offensive rebounds save possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Denver Nuggets grade out 8thworst in in the league with a mere 8.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

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