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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 5/12/2024

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-125/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has attempted 4.6 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's attempted in all games this season.

Nikola Jokic has played 34.7 minutes per game away from his home court this year, ranking in the 94th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.

The matchup vs. Rudy Gobert is a favorable one for three-point attempts; when facing opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a whopping 2.3 3-pointers per game (100th percentile).

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing on the road.

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 7th-best in the league on the road with 11.3 offensive boards per game this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Nikola Jokic has tallied 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games away from home, 0.9 higher than he's tallied in all games this year on the road.

As it relates to shot attempts from downtown, the least aggressive offense in the NBA while on the road this year has been the Nuggets.

The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to fewer plays for the Denver Nuggets.

Nikola Jokic will likely experience a decrease in efficiency across the board in light of playing on the visting team in this game.

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