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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 5/10/2024

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-140/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has attempted 4.2 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's attempted overall this year.

Nikola Jokic has been on the court for 34.6 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, placing him in the 94th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.

The matchup vs. Rudy Gobert is a good one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when facing fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a massive 2.3 shots from downtown per game (100th percentile).

The Nuggets have played at the 6th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games as the visting team.

The Nuggets have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Nikola Jokic has tallied 2.5 personal fouls per game while on the road this year, placing him in the 86th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.

In terms of 3-point attempts, the least aggressive team in the league on the road this year has been the Nuggets.

The Timberwolves have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased plays for the Denver Nuggets.

Nikola Jokic will likely experience a decrease in production for all stats due to playing away from home in this matchup.

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