Nikola Jokic Points - Player Prop Bet 5/6/2024

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves · May 6, 2024

Updated May 7, 2024 2:07 AM EST

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-135/-101).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 30.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jokic has notched 31.4 points per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 5.0 higher than he's notched overall this year at home.
Nikola Jokic has averaged 35.1 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 95th percentile.
In terms of offense, the Denver Nuggets's terrific 114.0 points per game settles in as the 6th-highest in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The number of 3-pointers attempted against Rudy Gobert has been quite high (2.3 per game) when squaring off against other starting Cs this year (100th percentile).
Nikola Jokic has sunk 6.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 more than he's made over the course of the season.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Nikola Jokic measures in the 88th percentile for personal fouls, logging a colossal 2.5 fouls per game this year.
The 3rd-least up-tempo pace home team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Nuggets.
The Nuggets are expected to experience a decrease in possessions today from facing the 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Timberwolves).
The Denver Nuggets have been the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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