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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 5/4/2024

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-123/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -123.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has attempted 20.1 shots from the field per game over the last 15 games on his home court, 2.5 more than he's attempted in all games this season at home.

Nikola Jokic has sunk 51.1% of his shots from downtown over the last 10 games, 10.3% higher than he's made from downtown in all games this season.

Nikola Jokic has averaged 35.0 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 95th percentile.

In regard to offense, the Nuggets's excellent 115.8 points per game ranks 2nd-most in the league over the last 10 games.

The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs against Rudy Gobert has been very high this year (4.0 free throw attempts per game when they are at home: 78th percentile).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the league, Nikola Jokic registers in the 88th percentile for personal fouls, posting a monstrous 2.5 fouls per game this year.

In terms of shots from behind the three-point arc, the 2nd-least aggressive team in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets.

While playing on the road and squaring off against other starting Cs, Rudy Gobert ranks in the 11th percentile with a mere 1.2 three-pointers attempted against him per game this year.

The Nuggets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the league this year.

The Nuggets are expected to see a decline in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 6th-most sluggish pace-of-play road team in the league over the last 20 games (the Timberwolves).

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