Nikola Jokic Points - Player Prop Bet 4/29/2024

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Lakers · Apr 29, 2024

Updated Apr 30, 2024 2:04 AM EST

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-145/+106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jokic has compiled 32.2 points per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 5.9 more than he's compiled over the course of the year at home.
Nikola Jokic has successfully made 53.1% of his 3-pointers over the last 10 games, 11.9% higher than he's converted from downtown in all games this year.
Among all players in the NBA, Nikola Jokic lands in the 95th percentile for playing time, tallying a monstrous 34.9 minutes per game this year.
The number of shots from behind the three-point arc sunk against Anthony Davis has been quite high (0.9 per game) when matched up against other starting Cs this year (100th percentile).
The Lakers have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games, which should raise plays for the Denver Nuggets.

Favors Under

As it relates to shot attempts from downtown, the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year has been the Nuggets.
The 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets.
The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting Cs against Anthony Davis has been very low this year (2.5 free throws per game: 13th percentile).

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