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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 4/22/2024

Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Lakers

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-130/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has put up 32.0 points per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 5.7 more than he's put up in all games this season at home.

Nikola Jokic has made 70.8% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games, 29.2% more than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year.

Nikola Jokic has played 34.7 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 95th percentile.

The matchup against Anthony Davis is a good one for field goals; when guarding other starting Cs this year, they have sunk a massive 5.8 buckets per game (94th percentile).

The Denver Nuggets are expected to see a rise in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 2nd-fastest pace team in the league over the last 25 games (the Los Angeles Lakers).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the league, Nikola Jokic ranks in the 87th percentile for personal fouls, logging a massive 2.5 fouls per game this year.

As it relates to shot attempts from downtown, the 2nd-least aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the Denver Nuggets.

The Nuggets have played at the 4th-slowest tempo in the NBA this year.

The matchup against Anthony Davis is a challenging one for getting to the foul line; when matched up against opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted just 2.3 free throws per game (7th percentile).

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