Nikola Jokic Points - Player Prop Bet 4/6/2024

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Atlanta Hawks · Apr 6, 2024

Updated Apr 7, 2024 1:01 AM EST

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jokic has scored 31.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.1 higher than he's scored overall this year.
Nikola Jokic has attempted 4.8 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 higher than he's attempted in all games this year.
Among all players in the league, Nikola Jokic comes in at the 94th percentile for playing time, registering a monstrous 34.7 minutes per game this year.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the NBA this year, which should boost possessions for the Nuggets.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 10th-best in in the NBA with 11.0 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

Nikola Jokic has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the league (86th percentile).
The Denver Nuggets check in as the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year in regard to shots from behind the three-point arc.
When squaring off against opposing starting Cs, Clint Capela has been in the 3rd percentile with only 1.2 treys attempted against him per game this year.
The 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Denver Nuggets.

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