Nikola Jokic Points - Player Prop Bet 4/2/2024

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs · Apr 2, 2024

Updated Apr 3, 2024 2:27 AM EST

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jokic has attempted 19.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 2.8 more than he's attempted overall this year at home.
Nikola Jokic has played 34.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 95th percentile.
The number of points scored against Victor Wembanyama has been remarkably high (16.9 per game) when defending other starting Cs this year (100th percentile).
The Spurs have played at the most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home court, which should raise opportunities for the Nuggets.
The Denver Nuggets have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

When it comes to shot attempts from downtown, the least aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Nuggets.
The 4th-least up-tempo tempo team in the league this year has been the Nuggets.

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