Nikola Jokic Points - Player Prop Bet 3/21/2024

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs New York Knicks · Mar 21, 2024

Updated Mar 22, 2024 1:11 AM EST

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-148/+108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -137 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -148.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Nikola Jokic registers in the 98th percentile for field goals drained while playing at home, compiling a colossal 9.8 per game this year.
Among all players in the league, Nikola Jokic slots into the 93rd percentile for playing time, posting a monstrous 34.4 minutes per game this year.
The Denver Nuggets rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage.
The faceoff with Isaiah Hartenstein measures in the 100th percentile with the opposition's starting Cs sinking a whopping 51.0% of their three-pointers this year when they have the home court advantage.
Nikola Jokic has sunk 5.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.9 more than he's put through the net in all games this year while on his home court.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Nikola Jokic slots into the 86th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a massive 2.5 fouls per game this year.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace in the NBA this year.
The Denver Nuggets are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities today from squaring off against the least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Knicks).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Denver Nuggets grade out 4thworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.5 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
The number of fouls drawn by opposing starting Cs against Isaiah Hartenstein has been quite low this year (2.9 foul shots per game when they are playing at home: 17th percentile).

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