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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 3/17/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -103 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has made 10.3 field goals per game this year, ranking in the 99th percentile among all players in the league.

Nikola Jokic has averaged 33.8 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 92nd percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.

The Denver Nuggets are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Mavericks).

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 6th-best in in the league as the road team with 11.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.

Nikola Jokic has successfully made 93.8% of his free throw attempts over the last 10 games, 10.5% more than he's put through the hoop overall this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Nikola Jokic places in the 83rd percentile for personal fouls, tallying a monstrous 2.4 fouls per game while playing away from home this year.

The Nuggets check in as the least aggressive offense in the NBA as the visting team this year as it relates to three-point attempts.

The faceoff with Daniel Gafford comes in at the 4th percentile for difficulty with the opposing team's starting Cs scoring just 47.6% of their field goal attempts this year when they are on the road.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 25 games as the road team.

Nikola Jokic figures to see a decline in performance in all stat categories in light of being on the road in this game.

More Nikola Jokic Player Props

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