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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 3/13/2024

Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has converted 12.6 field goals per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.7 higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season when playing away from home.

Nikola Jokic has sunk 53.7% of his 3-point attempts over the last 15 games on the road, 8.7% more than he's sunk in all games this season away from home.

Nikola Jokic has been on the court for 33.8 minutes per game away from home this year, placing him in the 91st percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.

In terms of shooting, the Nuggets's fantastic 53.2% field goal percentage settles in as the most in the NBA over the last 10 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Nikola Jokic has been called for 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the league (86th percentile).

The number of points compiled against Bam Adebayo has been quite low (12.5 per game) when guarding other starting Cs this year (7th percentile).

The Nuggets have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games as the road team.

The Miami Heat have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should decrease plays for the Denver Nuggets.

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

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